Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002567 0.002738 0.002921 0.003134 0.003375 0.003642 0.003964
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.002202 0.002414 0.002654 0.002949 0.003306 0.003732 0.004291
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.002055 0.002306 0.002602 0.002983 0.003474 0.004106 0.005014
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.001954 0.002234 0.002576 0.003036 0.003663 0.004527 0.005895
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.001842 0.002135 0.002501 0.003011 0.003737 0.004795 0.006620
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.001780 0.002091 0.002490 0.003064 0.003920 0.005251 0.007790
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001705 0.002023 0.002438 0.003053 0.004002 0.005561 0.008815
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001626 0.001943 0.002364 0.003000 0.004009 0.005741 0.009651
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001595 0.001925 0.002373 0.003068 0.004217 0.006320 0.011712
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001562 0.001901 0.002371 0.003116 0.004396 0.006892 0.014214
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001503 0.001840 0.002309 0.003065 0.004394 0.007087 0.015752
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001437 0.001764 0.002222 0.002967 0.004295 0.007051 0.016462
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001397 0.001725 0.002191 0.002963 0.004380 0.007483 0.019726
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001314 0.001623 0.002061 0.002787 0.004119 0.007036 0.018528
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001289 0.001602 0.002053 0.002814 0.004258 0.007619 0.023613
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001271 0.001590 0.002057 0.002861 0.004442 0.008398 0.032785
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001237 0.001555 0.002022 0.002838 0.004478 0.008776 0.041126
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001222 0.001545 0.002027 0.002885 0.004673 0.009736 0.068094
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001195 0.001517 0.002001 0.002875 0.004738 0.010304 0.106811
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001162 0.001479 0.001957 0.002827 0.004708 0.010521 0.152796
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001153 0.001476 0.001971 0.002888 0.004949 0.011945 2.190968
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001141 0.001468 0.001975 0.002931 0.005155 0.013422 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001113 0.001435 0.001935 0.002885 0.005122 0.013739 NaN